ChangesforthethirdeditionThebiggestchangeforthisneweditionistheadditionofChapters20–23onnonparametricmodeling.OthermajorchangesincludeweaklyinformativepriorsinChapters2,5,andelsewhere;boundary-avoidingpriorsinChapter13;anupdateddiscussionofcross-validationandpredictiveinformationcriteriainthenewChapter7;improvedconvergencemonitoringandeffectivesamplesizecalculationsforiterativesimulationinChapter11;presentationsofHamiltonianMonteCarlo,variationalBayes,andexpectationpropagationinChapters12and13;andnewandrevisedcodeinAppendixC.Wehavemadeotherchangesthroughout.
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